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The effects of the European sovereign debt crisis on major currency markets

Hoque, A. (2012) The effects of the European sovereign debt crisis on major currency markets. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 101 . pp. 75-80.

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Since the European sovereign debt crisis (ESDC), the euro has been weakening, leading currency users to believe that the ESDC has impacted the major currency markets. To examine the basis of the perceptions of currency market participants, we developed a regression model using the relationship between the currency price in terms of the euro and its denominated sovereign bond price. The Australian dollar (AUD), Canadian dollar (CAD), British pound (GBP), Japanese yen (JPY), Swiss franc (CHF) and US dollar (USD) were the sample currencies used in this study. Interestingly, our findings reveal that European sovereign bond investors have three distinct views about the major currency markets: (1) JPY and USD are safe-haven currency and their denominated government bonds are better alternatives in which to invest; (2) AUD- and CAD-denominated government bonds are not trustworthy investments; and (3) GBP- and CHF-denominated bonds are not appropriate investments in the context of the ESDC. This study provides an important lesson for currency users and sovereign bond investors by indicating that the ESDC affected a limited number of currency markets rather than all major currency markets.

Publication Type: Journal Article
Murdoch Affiliation: Murdoch Business School
Publisher: EuroJournals Publishing
Copyright: © EuroJournals Publishing, Inc. 2012
Publishers Website: http://www.internationalresearchjournaloffinancean...
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